Category: Politics

Repurposing verse

Sec Def Hegseth is evidently out on a “Send Me” tour telling people how the bible justifies all manner of war and destruction. The current video has him quoting Isaiah.

Using “send me” as a slogan for literal war against ideological or religious enemies rips v. 8 out of its literary and theological setting. Isaiah 6:1–13 is a prophetic commissioning narrative, not a military commission. The chapter’s structure is important: vv. 1–4 present Isaiah’s throne-room vision of God’s holiness; vv. 5–7 move to Isaiah’s confession of uncleanness and ritual purification; only then, in v. 8, does the divine question “Whom shall I send?” appear, to which Isaiah responds, “Here am I; send me.” In context, the verb “send” marks prophetic dispatch—Isaiah is commissioned as a spokesman, not as an agent of physical coercion.

That becomes explicit in vv. 9–13, where the content of his mission is to speak a message of judgment. Isaiah is told the people of Judah will hear but not understand. Will see but not perceive.  He is not being sent to win a campaign or wage violence; he is being sent to proclaim an unwelcome truth in the face of disbelief, judgment, and national crisis. It is an especially strange prooftext for militarized rhetoric because Isaiah is sent on a mission defined, at least from a human perspective, by rejection rather than success. The point of Isaiah 6 is not heroic conquest but prophetic witness under judgment.

In parallel with the passage’s description of those who “hear but do not understand,” Hegseth seems to read but not comprehend: he extracts words from the text and repurposes them to sanctify his own commitments without reckoning with what the passage actually means.

Corporate Greed?

Corporate greed is an easy, convenient answer to why things are so expensive … but I’ve tracked profits and revenue for the global “big oil” companies for a while now. Other than Armaco, and generally Petrobras, profits are under 10% of revenue. “Record profits” seem, generally, to come from record sales. We’re not going through record high profit percentages.

Now, a company that “only” profited five billion dollars on 380b isn’t doing badly and could probably have gotten by if they only made 2 million – but that makes for an interesting study. Say oil is $100 per barrel. 380 billion dollars is 3.8 billion barrels sold (yes, I know many of these companies have other lines of business. This is a thought experiment, not a regulated financial filing). If they earned three billion dollars less that year, the price per barrel would only drop $0.79. Under 1% change. Now, if Armaco had only profited 3.4 billion last year instead of 93.4b, that would be a $20/barrel drop.

Raw data:

Company 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B) Revenue ($B) Net profit ($B)
1. Saudi Aramco 446 93.4 481 106.2 495 121.3 604 161.1 400 110.0 230 49.0 330 88.2 356 111.1 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
2. PetroChina 399 21.9 409 22.9 426 22.8 481 22.2 405 14.3 280 2.3 364 10.4 356 7.9 298 3.4 244 0.9 277 5.7 371 17.4 365 20.9 348 18.2 298 20.6 216 20.6 149 15.1 155 16.5 110 18.4 86 17.9
3. Sinopec 388 4.4 428 7.0 454 8.5 493 9.9 435 9.5 305 4.8 430 8.3 437 9.2 349 7.6 291 7.0 324 5.3 459 8.8 465 10.3 457 10.1 388 9.8 283 9.3 197 8.6 209 6.8 157 7.0 131 6.4
4. ExxonMobil 334 28.8 350 33.7 345 36.0 414 55.7 286 23.0 182 -22.4 265 14.3 279 20.8 290 19.7 227 7.8 260 16.2 412 32.5 438 32.6 481 44.9 486 41.1 383 30.5 311 19.3 477 45.2 405 40.6 378 39.5
5. Shell 274 17.8 289 16.1 323 19.4 386 42.3 273 20.1 183 -21.7 352 15.8 397 23.4 312 13.0 240 4.6 272 1.9 431 14.9 460 16.4 482 26.7 484 30.8 378 20.1 285 12.5 458 26.3 356 31.3 319 25.4
6. TotalEnergies 201 13.1 214 15.8 237 21.4 284 20.5 206 16.0 140 -7.2 200 11.3 209 11.4 171 8.6 150 6.2 165 5.1 236 4.2 251 11.2 257 14.7 257 17.1 212 14.1 183 11.7 264 20.4 217 18.0 193 15.8
7. BP 189 0.1 189 0.4 210 15.2 241 -2.5 158 7.6 180 -20.3 277 4.0 299 9.4 240 3.4 183 0.1 223 -6.5 354 3.8 379 23.5 387 11.0 376 25.2 297 -3.7 246 16.6 361 21.2 274 20.8 254 22.3
8. Chevron 189 12.5 203 17.7 201 21.4 246 35.5 162 15.6 95 -5.5 147 2.9 166 14.8 142 9.2 114 -0.5 138 4.6 212 19.2 229 21.4 242 26.2 254 26.9 205 19.0 172 10.5 273 23.9 221 18.7 210 17.1
9. Rosneft 101 3.6 109 11.7 107 14.9 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 92 n/a 63 n/a n/a n/a n/a 11.1 n/a 6.5 n/a n/a
10. Petrobras 89 19.6 91 7.5 102 24.9 124 36.6 84 19.9 54 -1.1 77 10.2 85 7.2 89 0.1 81 -4.0 97 -10.0 144 -9.0 141 10.9 144 10.9 146 20.0 121 20.0 91 14.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Data as available. Publicly traded companies in US and Europe are far more apt to have published , audited, probably somewhat accurate data.

Ohio Voter Turnout

The current data from https://liveresults.ohiosos.gov/ shows the five biggest counties in Ohio are all in the top ten “bad” voter turnout counties. Ohio’s unofficial turnout is 69.69%. At least so far.

County Registered Voters Ballots Counted Unofficial Voter Turnout Outstanding Absentees Outstanding Provisionals Total Precincts Election Day Precincts Reporting Election Day % Precincts Reporting Metro NonVoter Count
Greene 122,193 49,991 40.91 1,267 2,044 146 146 100 72,204
Lucas 304,907 187,235 61.41 2,856 4,426 303 303 100 Toledo 117,664
Lawrence 43,020 26,586 61.8 239 423 84 84 100 16,434
Cuyahoga 893,801 571,397 63.93 15,697 14,183 967 967 100 Cleveland 322,394
Athens 38,592 24,956 64.67 265 1,537 56 56 100 13,635
Franklin 903,493 592,418 65.57 9,235 19,563 888 888 100 Columbus 311,073
Pike 18,010 12,072 67.03 113 314 22 22 100 5,938
Hamilton 604,178 405,825 67.17 6,360 12,659 562 562 100 Cincinnati 198,352
Montgomery 373,582 251,763 67.39 4,909 6,200 381 381 100 Dayton 121,825
Scioto 45,434 30,666 67.5 247 1,041 77 77 100 14,766

No Taxes on Tips / Over-Time / etc?

I’m curious if “no taxes” means no taxes or just no income tax (well, probably state tax … but that’s not something the federal government can easily control). When I was trying to support myself on minimum wage, it wasn’t federal income tax that was eating up my paycheck. It was some FICA thing — which I quickly learned was what funded social security and medicare.

Either reducing “taxes” isn’t going to have as big an impact for lower income people as they might expect or they’re talking about impacting people’s future retirement benefits. Because — reducing the earnings could very well reduce your future social security income too.

https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10024.pdf

It may be nice, today, not to pay taxes on that income … but if your $2/hr income is what is used to determine your retirement payments, that’s going to suck!

Springfield

Governor DeWine had an editorial in the NY Times this morning — https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/20/opinion/springfield-haitian-migrants-ohio.html — he starts out OK. Essentially I’ve got a history in that area, I know the area, and I know this nonsense to be untrue. But then he says he still supports Trump because of the horrible problems with immigration elsewhere.

Without mentioning that a bipartisan attempt to do something got scuttled by the very guy I am telling you will fix it.

Worse – without thinking maybe some of those reports are made up or embellished like this situation has been? If I know first-hand what is going on in Springfield, and I know that Trump’s portrayal of it is wildly inaccurate? Why wouldn’t I question how accurate his depiction of Colorado or even the Mexican border is?!?

They just let you steal!

This is another case of simplifying a complex situation to make someone look bad: Cali lets you walk right out if you are stealing $950 or less. And ignoring the real problem (if you want to have all of these crimes investigated and prosecuted, your local/state taxes need to go up so departments can staff accordingly and enough jails can be built to house all of these criminals).

Every state has a law that differentiates between misdemeanor theft and felony theft. e.g. https://law.justia.com/codes/arkansas/title-5/subtitle-4/chapter-36/subchapter-1/section-5-36-103/ for Arkansas at $1000. I think most people would agree that someone who steals ten dollars worth of merchandise and someone who steals three grand worth of merchandise should get different punishments. Punishments are generally defined along with the classification of the crime. And each state’s law reflects this. Different states have different dollar amounts — and $950 sounds like a lot of money. But compared to the other states? California’s demarcation is pretty middle of the pack.

Unfortunately the entire criminal justice system is overloaded. Police may be too busy to deal with your theft complaint. The prosecutor may not get around to filing charges. And what happens if they do get a conviction? Now we need to find somewhere to detain the thief. And, again, if there’s a person stealing cars, a person kidnapping minors, and a person stealing the latest video game … ideally, we’d have resources to punish all of them. But we don’t. And I’d be way more upset if the kidnapper skated because they had a task force down at the GameStop gathering video from all the surrounding stores to track down this thief.

Prop 47 absolutely has some flaws. There’s a Prop 36 this year that seems like an attempt to fix some of the unintended consequences — two or more theft charges under $950 would be a felony. Stealing from multiple places that add up to over $950 would be a felony. Won’t know if that passes until November, but it’s not like all the liberals are dancing around saying this was 100% perfect and everyone else should do it too.

 

Alabama: $500
Alaska: $750
Arizona: $1,000
Arkansas: $1,000
California: $950
Colorado: $2,000
Connecticut: $2,000
Delaware: $1,500
Florida: $750
Georgia: $1,500
Hawaii: $750
Idaho: $1,000
Illinois: $500
Indiana: $750
Iowa: $300
Kansas: $1,500
Kentucky: $1,000
Louisiana: $1,000
Maine: $1,000
Maryland: $1,500
Massachusetts: $1,200
Michigan: $1,000
Minnesota: $1,000
Mississippi: $1,000
Missouri: $750
Montana: $1,500
Nebraska: $1,500
Nevada: $1,200
New Hampshire: $1,000
New Jersey: $200
New Mexico: $500
New York: $1,000
North Carolina: $1,000
North Dakota: $1,000
Ohio: $1,000
Oklahoma: $1,000
Oregon: $1,000
Pennsylvania: $2,000
Rhode Island: $1,500
South Carolina: $2,000
South Dakota: $1,000
Tennessee: $1,000
Texas: $2,500
Utah: $1,500
Vermont: $900
Virginia: $1,000
Washington: $750
West Virginia: $1,000
Wisconsin: $2,500
Wyoming: $1,000

Why so militant

Someone asked why some feminists are so anti-anything-feminine. I think a silly analogy makes it easier to understand:

If there were a law that required everyone to eat pizza for dinner every day, and a whole freedom movement evolved to ensure we could all pick our own dinner? I expect some people would be so adverse to pizza as to never eat it again. Electing to eat pizza (because I love pizza, just not every day) could be seen as an insult to the Dinner Liberation movement.

Viewing the movement as action so you never had to eat pizza again rather than action so you could chose from the entire world of options including the one that had formerly been forced upon you.

Trusting Science

Kinda hard question for me, as a scientist, if I trust science or trust experts. Few who ask are honestly curious – they’ve got an agenda. I generally trust Science and Experts. *But* I also know that Science and Experts aren’t always right. They are generally right with the information they had available at the time, the measuring tools they had available at the time, etc. It’s surprisingly easy to do nothing wrong and still manage to arrive at the wrong conclusion. There are some things that have remained consistent over enough time and testing that they’re generally accepted as true (scientific theories). But even that name … scientists aren’t out there claiming it’s the complete, never changing truth. It’s the current theory.

What I don’t trust second-hand accounts of science or experts. There is generally a peer-reviewed publication that makes a cumbersome read. With a lot of details you don’t really need. But! It’s also exactly what was studied, how it was studied, what conclusions the researchers drew, how statistically significant the findings were, and other factors that should be included in future studies. A newspaper article claiming researchers say XYZ? I’ll use my internet search engine of choice to find the actual article if I’m interested in the claim. It’s a newspaper’s summary of a PR guy’s summary of the abstract written by an expert to explain something that requires domain knowledge to understand well.

Outnumbered

Any political system requires “buy in” from a very large percentage of those being governed. If the 600,000 people who live in Wyoming thought they had absolutely no say in how the country ran because there are like 8 million people in NYC, 3.5 million in LA. Or even the just about 600,000 people who live in Harrisburg, PA … they don’t have much incentive to peaceful participation in the federal government.

I hear folks in rural parts of Ohio saying the same thing — cannabis will be legalized because of the three C’s (Cinci, Columbus, Cleveland) and they get no say in it. Which made me curious — just how “outnumbered” are these “rural” folks. So I grabbed a list of cities in Ohio with population numbers. Columbus is huge, almost a million people! But there are almost 12 million people in Ohio. So Columbus is just under 8% of the population. Add in Cleveland, and you are up to almost 11% of the population. Keep going — add Cinci to get 13.5%. So the “three C’s” are only 13.5% of the entire population. Toledo gets us over 15%. But these are hardly “bossing everyone else around” percentages. I was down to the 143rd largest city in Ohio — Fostoria with just over 13,000 people — before “cities” account for 50% of the state’s population.

And that assumes 100% of people in urban areas are voting against whatever 100% of these rural people want to see happen. Which is absurd. If 80% of the people in these cities were voting against “the rural way”, we’re adding cities with just under 4,000 residents before we reach 50%.

If 75% are voting against “the rural way”, we’re down to cities with just under 2,000 residents.

While I think Wyoming is probably right — there are enough liberal voters nationally that conservatives would be “outnumbered” without creative districting, over-representation in the senate, and over-representation in the electoral college … the same doesn’t seem to hold true in Ohio.

Figs

Came across someone referencing the “God Hates Figs” bumper sticker as presumed “religious nuts” online today.

Those are generally folks against religious nuts – Westboro Baptist Church had a domain for god hates fags. There was a coordinated effort online to overrun their message board (they shut it down eventually) and god hates figs came up as a joke. You can find all sorts of biblical citations showing that god hates figs. Far more than those showing that god hates people of a specific sexual orientation. Someone bought a domain, and there you have it. God hates figs.

Not saying there aren’t people who took it seriously – but it’s meant like the “dangers of dihydro-monoxide” thing. A bit of a riff on people who use the Bible to justify hatred.