Alternative Fact: Mexico will pay for Trump’s crazy wall through a 20% tariff on goods imported from Mexico to the USAs
Real Fact: Umm, that’s Americans who will be paying … anything they buy from Mexico will cost 20% more. Or they’ll purchase goods imported from some other country to avoid paying the import duty and still end up paying for the wall (plus interest on the wall) because that’s how floated debt works in the real world.
There’s been a lot of reporting and chatter about voter fraud. I assumed this was intentional fraud until I started seeing reports that some of Trump’s advisers, cabinet nominees, and even a daughter were guilty of one of the particular missteps against which Trump rails.
I have lived in several states. I have also been registered to vote in each of them. I verified my registration on three different states, and wanted to remove my registration from the states in which I don’t actually live. Spent two hours searching two different Board of Election sites and there’s no published process for rescinding a registration. Checked the federal Election Assistance Commission — they do not even say you need to rescind your previous registration. It’s a “good idea”, but it also says “your new election office uses this information [your former address] to notify your former election office that you no longer reside in that jurisdiction”. Evidently there’s a fairly high failure rate on this process.
This is not voter fraud – it was a failure on my part to properly research the process and then follow up to confirm my non-registered status in other states. There’s a big difference between casting ballots using the same identity in multiple states, voting under multiple identities, etc and unknowingly being registered to vote in more than one state.
Making people aware of the problem – especially if local Boards of Election update their web sites with instructions on removing invalid registrations – is certainly a worthwhile endeavor. I work in IT; I like clean data. Cleaning up the state registries may make analysing data to identify actual fraud easier (i.e. the fact that I show up on three states is more indicative of fraud since it is common knowledge that individuals should be rescinding old registrations). But how much money is going to be wasted hunting for phantom election fraud?
I’m not sure what it says about me that I know a lot about evading authorities. There was a show a few years ago where people were challenged to hide a suitcase and a law enforcement professional has to find it … if it stayed hidden, the person won. If the case was found then the law enforcement person won. The show was quite disappointing – both in process and execution.
There’s a new show, Hunted, which is what I thought the show a few years ago was going to be. In this one, pairs of people have to evade law enforcement professionals for 28 days. But these people are absolutely horrible at evading trackers. I assume the show has basic rules — it is NEVER a good idea to record yourself committing a felony. If that weren’t a restriction, I’d jack a car, head up to Mall of Georgia or down to Buckhead, jack another car from a carpark. But, yeah, that’s not something you want on national television.
You have a 48-hour window to leave – you don’t know when in that window you’ll start … but you have a little time, PACK! Have a go-bag ready by the door. Bonus to the people who packed some wigs, but that’s obvious – I’d go hair dye. I’d start off with a blond & pack a dark color. Dye that people use every day so it doesn’t stand out in anyone’s recollection (a dude with a bad Halloween wig, I remember him. Some fake blond chick? Yeah, eighty seven of them the past hour. Why do you ask?). Glasses, clothing no one would ever dream of you wearing. Beef jerky, blanket, matches, knife, fishing hook and line, a pot, and a tent. I’ve got a foraging guide that I’d bring too.
Once you are packed, start getting rid of your evidence and plant false evidence. My servers would give them a lot of contacts that they wouldn’t get anywhere else … but I’m not going to contact anyone so I’d take that risk over actually wiping my data. Let them track down false leads. If you write something, take the entire pad of paper. Don’t print anything (printers have memory). I’ve got a lot of books related to permaculture, homesteading, and foraging … those would get hidden at someone else’s house. I might even pick up a few travel guides for a large city in the hunt area – yank a few pages to take with you. Good for starting fires 🙂
Once you get told to leave, head into downtown. Phone gets given away to form a false trail. You’ve got an ATM card where you can pull 100$ a day (but that access immediately throws a flag for the hunters) and a total of 500$. Either find a small church and offer it as a donation if the pastor gives you the first hundred bucks or chance some random person on the street with the same deal. You don’t have 500$ that way, but they don’t have video of your car (or you, for that matter) and will continue to get false alerts as the card is used the next few days. Get a couple of cheap bus passes to a not-too-far-away city – if you can avoid doing so, don’t buy it yourself. Offer to pay for the cheap ticket of someone if they pick up a ticket for you and your partner. Then get off the bus before it hits its destination. Take off into the mountains and start hiking. Twenty eight days living in the woods – keep moving, don’t stay on main trails, and avoid people.
But maybe that’s against the rules — go homeless in a major metro. It’d be a different metro than the travel guide in my house … but one with a large enough homeless population that you’re not THE ONLY homeless guy there. Either way you are hard to find — two random people in the Appalachian mountains or two among the hundreds of homeless in downtown Atlanta.
A friend of mine started a thread on Facebook about why the media doesn’t call out Trump’s lies, using the example of his claim that the Lincoln Memorial is never/rarely used for inauguration events. And how his representatives can call these lies “alternative facts” with any seriousness. Trump lies so often and about so many ridiculous things (DC is sold out of dresses, really??). The thing is, media outlets do call him out(https://www.washingtonpost.com/…/donald-trump-says…/… or http://time.com/4640346/donald-trump-lincoln-memorial/ for the Lincoln Memorial example).
Why don’t these become big stories? Why is the constant flood of lies not a big story?
Trump supporters that I know tell me it’s hyperbole (what *is* the difference between hyperbole and lying?) and negotiating positions (I remember being a sixteen year old kid asking for a tattoo as a negotiating position when I wanted Manic Panic hair coloring … not sure what it says that our new President’s negotiating tactics and teenage kids differ only in scale) and I shouldn’t take everything he says so seriously.
I’m still not sure how to take that argument. I use rhetorical hyperbole too. I haven’t literally told Anya a million times to clean up her toys – that would be 650 times a day each day of her life. I try to be careful to say “It *SEEMS* like I’ve told you a million times to get the books on the bookshelf”. But it doesn’t seem harmful when I say “dude, I’ve told you a million times. Seriously, pick up the books!”.
I am willing to believe that people don’t mind being lied to by Trump … what I cannot figure out, then, is why they considered Clinton to be offensively dishonest. It’s a different type of lying — using technicalities. When I would do it, my mother called it lying by omission — you make a statement that is technically true because of some technically valid meaning of a word and/or some incorrect assumption the other party makes about your statement. Consider Bill Clinton’s “It depends upon what the meaning of the word ‘is’ is” statement — there is a difference between present and past tenses. If you ask me if I’m driving a Jetta, I can accurately say no because *right this second* I am sitting on the sofa typing … you assume I sold my Jetta, which from the perspective of a legal proceeding really is the interrogating attorney’s fault, but when you’re fifteen … you don’t get far telling your mom it’s her fault for not being specific enough or making erroneous assumptions 🙂
And maybe this is why I get so offended by Trump’s lies but don’t mind Clinton’s — I enjoy studying law and the challenge language adds to legal proceedings. To me, someone answering a present tense question ignoring past facts is clever (and highlights a flaw in the line of questioning). Essentially I don’t feel like I was lied to, I feel like someone outmaneuvered me. On the other hand, someone making an outright stupid provably untrue statement insults me.
I could see someone making an inverse conclusion, though. That uppity lawyer thinks he’s smarter than me, the LIAR! But is any amount of hyperbolic lying acceptable just because it’s a rhetorical technique most use occasionally. Do people condone it because they do it? Or the liar is seen as a ‘real’ person because he engages in the same rhetorical techniques they use?
So Trump businesses are going to donate the profits from foreign governments directly to the Treasury to avoid the appearance of impropriety. And they release this information to the public – the receipts, the cost analysis to determine profit, and a copy of the transfer so donations can be verified? But let’s assume that becomes part of their public accounting processes – that the Trump Organization now has a web page with this accounting, along with an image of the cancelled donation cheque. How does this avoid the appearance (and the fact) of corruption??
Buying influence is not limited to foreign governments, and to imply otherwise is insulting. Boeing wants a lucrative contract, so they book all of their corporate conferences at Trump properties. Hell, Syria wants the US to leave them alone so the second cousin of every high-ranking official rent out a floor and a ballroom for the year.
I think I finally have enough cold-weather clothing to enjoy winter. Not just the usual hat/gloves/scarf — that’s a good way to hate winter. Layers are a good start – heavy weight silk base layer under any type of regular shirt/slacks. Top that all with Berne insulated bib overalls along with the matching coat. Thick wool socks from Carhartt and regular waterproof hiking boots. Gloves with insulation even in the fingers; and a lightweight, breathable balaclava under the hat/scarf.
Shoveling the driveway at eight degrees isn’t the most fun I’ve ever had, but I was perfectly warm. Well, right up until my nose got drippy … that’s a heap of unpleasant and time to go back inside. Luckily I was 98% through with shoveling at that point … figure I’ll toss the shovel in the car and get the last little bit at the bottom as we head out.
Oooh – down to stage 4 and we’re at 1,642 Watts.
I’m getting code together to scrape the Symphony data into OpenHAB. In the interim, we’re watching the stats from the WaterFurnace Symphony web site. We’re running between 1,800 watts and 2,800 Watts to keep the house really warm (72 degrees at the thermostat) with outdoor temps in the 20’s. The loop temperature has stayed pretty consistent as well. It’s not cheap, per se, to heat 4k square feet; but this is a lot better than the power usage with the air exchange heat pump at similar temperatures.
We’d been noticing rather poor airflow in the family room since we purchase the house. Asked quite a few HVAC people – basically everyone who came to quote our new system both last year and this year. The only halfway sensible answer we got was from the company that installed our geothermal system: the sales guy said there is probably a damper at the trunk. Which is reasonable, but there’s no access panel or anything. And why would you put an adjustment lever in an inaccessible location and have it closed off??
Now that we’ve got our unit in place and the whole house is toasty … the low airflow in the family room kind of sucks. So we put a borescope into the vent. Couldn’t see well enough to figure out what was going on. We put a bright flashlight & Elph camera into the vent & took some pictures – sure enough, there’s a metal piece halfway across the ducting right up by the trunk.
Now there’s an obvious answer (cut something), but I googled dampers behind hard surfaces / ceilings / etc. Got a lot of “cut it”, but even more “call a professional” … not quite sure what a professional is going to do that’s different (apart from possibly repairing the drywall). We tried to come up with some way to feed a flexible but stiff long something into the vent to shove the damper aside … couldn’t think of anything. So we gave up and cut drywall.
This is *not* where you should put adjustment levers — and it isn’t like the lever is on top where the drywaller didn’t realize it was there. The lever is pressed into the drywall like they had to shove on the board to get it attached.
A friend of mine sited the The Economist/YouGov Poll December 17 – 20, 2016 – 1376 US Adults that says 58% of Trump voters agree that what is good for Donald Trump’s business is good for the country. Charles Wilson said much the same thing about General Motors back when he was the CEO/president/whatever they called him. I understand the sentiment (a rising tide and all that), but where I disagreed with the statement about GM is half of what I fear from Trump.
What’s good for the country *may* benefit GM/Trump/Whomever, but it could also harm them. And what’s good for them may or may not benefit the country. Relaxing safety regulations on construction would be good for Trump’s business and bottom line, but *really* suck for the people buried under a collapsed tower.
My other fear is that Trump made an amazing amount of money screwing over other people. He may make another amazing amount of money screwing over the country. My father-in-law says Trump is going to be a boon for the country because he screws over other countries to “our benefit” … which, viewed in a short-term and one-sided fashion could be considered awesome (to me a bit like stealing food from a homeless dude ’cause you get a little hungry on the way home from work, but I acknowledge that some people would like to benefit our country to the detriment of others). I just don’t see it as a sustainable policy, and I think history backs me up. The sun never set on the British Empire … until it did. Even if you’re not trying outright colonialism, I’ve seen enough of South and Central America to know how welcome American exploitation was — “yankees go home”, “fuera yanquis de America Latina”, etc. I remember seeing Michael Franti not long after Spearhead was touring Iraq and he said the message he got from speaking to Iraqis was “thank you for getting rid of a really horrible guy, now get the fuck out of my country!”. I don’t see countries being screwed over as particularly happy with the situation, nor do I expect them to express their discontent with sternly worded letters to the editor. And that’s REALLY bad for the country.