Reopening

I keep hearing Trump talk about his decision to re-open the country (and how it’ll be the biggest decision he’s ever made). Begs the question how. And I don’t mean “what is the plan to resume somewhat normal inter-personal interactions” (although the process question needs to be answered). I mean procedurally how is he going to *open* the country? He’s never closed it! Individual states have enacted various protective measures as they see fit. He really think he can overrule, say, Ohio’s shelter in place order? Issue an executive order mandating we all eat at a restaurant this weekend and … what? The FBI is gonna haul me out of the house if I don’t?

Dandelion Lotion

Anya has been loving collecting dandelion flowers this Spring. A few years ago, I made a dandelion soap that we’re still using. She wants to make more this year since we’re running out. We started the oil infusion for the soap, and she wanted to collect more dandelions. I’ve seen a lot of recipes for dandelion lotion/salve … so we made some. While the oil infusion for the soap is just dandelion heads in coconut oil sitting on the heater vent in a sunny window for a few weeks, I wanted to make the salve today.

We combined the coconut oil and dandelion flowers in a pot and simmered it over low heat for an hour.

Filter the plant material out of the oil and return it to the pot. I added a little bit of beeswax and a few tablespoons of cocoa butter and heated again to melt the additions. This was poured into glass canning jars.

Once it cooled, we have a bright, sunny yellow lotion with a mild cocoa scent. Anya has been using it daily.

Open Source Methodologies – The Need

Scott and I were discussing methodologies in open source development. In some ways, I find open source development to be “developer’s id”. Unlike a development job, where you need to do all of the tangentially related (or completely unrelated) tasks mandated by your company, you volunteer your time toward whatever you want to work on. If developers don’t find value in project management, then project management won’t be done in the open source project because no one devotes time to project management. If developers don’t find value in testing, testing won’t be done in the open source project because no one dedicates time to testing. Ideally, people who are interested in all aspects of development would get involved in a project, but what I’ve seen in the open source community is developers.

The problem this creates is that a larger project doesn’t really have any direction. The functionality is almost an emergent property of individual development efforts. I had a friend who worked at MicroProse back in the early 90’s. I remember him talking about a debate between military consultants and UX designers about the direction of control in a military aircraft game (IIRC as they built the first mouse-controlled game). They made a decision, and there was a reason for the decision (memory is the “true to real controls” side won and the “logical” side lost). In a company with low turnover, it was easy enough to retain that knowledge. Some new UX tester says “hey, this is counter-intuitive and makes gameplay more difficult”, they get “the spiel” about verisimilitude.

Most companies have evolved from relying on this sort of tribal knowledge. Memory is faulty (I don’t remember why we decided to do xyz ten years ago … you?), low turnover isn’t as common (my most recent hiring adventure clued me into the fact that a long series of 6-18 month contracts is fairly common in IT ops), there’s a significant level of effort involved in maintaining what amounts to an oral tradition (when I worked somewhere with the ‘oral tradition’ approach to IT architecture, I wrote up my day-long spiel so I could hand it to the next new guy and avoid straining my vocal cords), and “we all just know” certainly doesn’t fly if the company is attempting some sort of regulatory or ISO process validation. Software development companies have adopted application lifecycle methodologies, manufacturing companies have adopted production methodologies, etc that include documentation. What we intend to do, why we’re doing it, and how we’re doing it.

In theory, a new software developer coming into a firm that uses ITIL could use their first week to read through the service catalog and gain a fairly decent understanding of their job. As with most theoretical designs, I’ve not encountered a real implementation that was 100% adherent to a standard practice. That may mean that the practice was adapted to fit the individual organization/product/project, or it may mean that the company took the “start somewhere” approach and has implemented the methodology for new projects. But the result, by any road, is that there’s some tribal knowledge.

What does this have to do with open source development methodologies? I’ve started to think of open source projects as companies with really high turnover. Back in the 90’s, 104% annual turnover was a cause for celebration at the call center I supported. As in statistically every single person who worked for the company on 01 January had quit, and by 31 Dec some of their replacements had quit too. Of course, there were long-term employees and a lot of people who only stayed on for a few weeks who averaged out to 104% turnover. But watching development in a few larger open source projects brought the call center to mind. There are a handful of contributors who are consistently involved across multiple years. But there are a lot of people who pop in to create a PR for a single issue or feature that particularly touched them. This creates a scenario where maintaining an oral tradition and allowing PRs to guide the project roadmap is ineffective.

After Bernie

Bernie may get some stuff added to the Democratic platform this summer … but is it anything Biden would be willing to fight for? Especially if he’s not planning to run for a second term (i.e. he doesn’t need my vote again in four years). My hope is that the current pandemic forces Biden to reevaluate some of his positions, *but* his statements in the last debate make me think this is unlikely to occur.
 
Trump is incompetent (and thus less likely to accomplish anything he sets out to do), but odds on a SCOTUS vacancy coming up are high. Returning to decade-old environmental policies are better than continuing a backslide. Maybe Biden would even manage to get the alt-energy tax credits increased and extended instead of the continued reduction to phaseout we’ve got now. An official policy of ignoring marijuana offenses at a federal level is better than active prosecution.
 
I’ll probably vote for Biden. How enthusiastic I am in that vote is going to depend a lot on who he selects as his VP (and hopefully he starts naming cabinet members so I’ll have a better picture of his administration’s composition). I won’t vote for Trump, and I won’t sit home (there are local elections with candidates I actually support). But you don’t have to vote for *every* office on the ballot (and, no, I’m not looking for anyone to yell “blue no matter who” at me — everyone gets to vote their own mind, and I’m intelligent enough to predict what either Biden or Trump as president in 2021 means). Biden picks Cheyney as his token Republican VP, floats Buttigieg for HHS to lead the M4A* (* who aren’t priced out of wanting it because their employer subsidizes private insurance and won’t subsidize their Medicare enrollment) initiative … abstaining gets more appealing. Warren as the VP, AOC over Energy … I’m there, and it has nothing to do with having women in the administration.

Bernie Suspends His Campaign

I expected it — there hasn’t been much campaigning in the past month anyway, and his campaign communications have been requests for charitable donations for the past few weeks — but still a little shocked to hear Bernie suspend his campaign. Listening to his announcement today was a rare occasion where I don’t get what he’s saying — yeah, this movement is an attempt to stand up to massive corporate interests and a corrupt political system. From the perspective of someone who cannot even speak ill of their government without fear of imprisonment, I guess that’s something to celebrate. But that’s not my perspective. America has a long history of letting people voice dissent; unfortunately America is also amassing a long history of ignoring majority dissent. We stood up against crony capitalism and crony democracy, but we didn’t win. Not like Bernie could say it sucks; but, as a voter who really believed that Bernie’s economic, social, and environmental policies are needed … it sucks.

I’m glad Bernie will continue to amass delegates as a tactical maneuver. While my totally impractical self thinks *maybe* people will see how tying health care to employment, how allowing corporations to deny people paid sick leave, how having a minimum wage that means you’re working two jobs to pay rent and feed your family isn’t the right direction so Bernie manages to win 99% of the remaining delegates (or Biden being the nominee makes Republicans think it’s open season on Biden investigations & Biden’s campaign becomes non-viable by mid-summer), I want to see what planks Bernie manages to insert into Biden’s platform. And how Biden manages to *not* look disingenuous adopting those planks.

Maven Deploy To Github Packages – Error 422: Unprocessable Entity

There is logical consistency to this error, but it would be nice if the error message was a little more indicative of the problem. Scott deployed a JAR to Github Packages. He needed to make a few changes and then was unable to upload the package in his deployment. The error indicted the jar was unable to be transferred to/from Github with error 422. Which was a new one on me — quick search produced the fact 422 is “Unprocessable Entity”. And, yeah, the maven error said exactly that if I’d bothered to read the whole error. I suggested incrementing the version, and the deploy succeeded.

Since GitHub doesn’t allow you to delete public packages, it seems logical that they wouldn’t allow you to overwrite public packages either (if nothing else, I could overwrite it with a text file that says “DELETED” and essentially have deleted the package). Since he was able to deploy the package successfully with a new version tag, it appears that you cannot delete or overwrite public packages. Each new push needs to have a unique tag.

Open Source Methodologies – Project Types

Scott and I were discussing a methodology for use in open source development, and I mentioned that there are some projects that someone posted online as an open source contribution where they’re not looking for input. I have some of these — if someone finds a bug in the code I wrote to gather MS Teams usage stats, I appreciate their help. If they want to change the report format, or what’s being reported, or … well, it’s a script I wrote and use for a specific purpose, and that’s what it does. Feel free to make a fork and adjust the report to suit your needs. But I’m not going to merge a PR in that keeps five years worth of data because I don’t want five years worth of data. And that’s a perfectly valid decision for code I built that I shared in case it helps someone else who needs to achieve a similar goal. I call this a dictatorial project — there’s an individual that makes the decisions. If you want to change something about how the program works, you should run it by the dictator prior to putting a lot of effort into it. Or plan on making changes in your own fork.

There are oligarchic projects — those may be corporate sponsored projects or projects owned by a group of private individuals. As with dictatorial projects, there are a small number of people “in charge” who decide if PRs are merged or not.

And there are democratic projects — at least in theory. I don’t know if this ends up being true in practice anywhere. But, in theory, a large community of developers or users would drive the direction of the project.

I suppose, if I’m discussing theoretical repository management types … I could add in mass chaos. Open for anyone to merge changes. This is an approach that’s worked surprisingly well for Wikipedia, so I suppose it could work for a smaller code base. Someone merges in some malicious or flawed code, someone else puts in a fix.

 

Trump Impeachment / SARS-CoV-2 Timeline

The timeline below was posted to a FB group today, but I wanted a more visual format to show how much nonsense  the “impeachment was a distraction from this serious pandemic business” story is. I cross-referenced dates in the timeline with the number of US SARS-CoV-2 infections using archived data from Johns Hopkins through 23 March and the dataset from COVID Tracking (which is current but doesn’t go back far enough to provide correlation with the impeachment dates). There is some overlap, but it’s not like Trump was completely focused on impeachment activity before 05 Feb. Campaign rallies and golfing were his choice distractions. Both of which continued well after the impeachment trial ended.
Timeline with a few additional impeachment-related events added and location info for rally and golf events:
Date # US Infections Detail
18-Dec-2019 0 House Impeaches Trump
18-Dec-2019 0 Trump campaign rally – Michigan
21-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
22-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
23-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
24-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
26-Dec-2019 0 Trump golfs – Florida
27-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
28-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
29-Dec-2019 0 Trump golfs – Florida
30-Dec-2019 0 Trump golfs – Florida
31-Dec-2019 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
1-Jan 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
2-Jan 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
3-Jan 0 Trump campaign rally – Florida
4-Jan 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
5-Jan 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
8-Jan 0 First CDC warning
9-Jan 0 Trump campaign rally – Ohio
14-Jan 0 Trump campaign rally – Wisconsin
16-Jan 0 House sends impeachment articles to Senate
18-Jan 0 Trump golfs – Florida
19-Jan 0 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
20-Jan 1 First case of corona virus in the US, Washington State.
22-Jan 1 “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China. It’s going to be just fine.”
22-Jan 1 Impeachment prosecution’s opening arguments and presentation of evidence
23-Jan 1 Impeachment prosecution’s opening arguments and presentation of evidence
24-Jan 2 Impeachment prosecution’s opening arguments and presentation of evidence
25-Jan 2 Impeachment defense presentation
28-Jan 5 Trump campaign rally – New Jersey
30-Jan 5 Trump campaign rally – Iowa
31-Jan 7 Impeachment Senate vote against calling witnesses & travel restriction from China
1-Feb 8 Trump golfs – Florida
2-Feb 8 Trump maybe golfs – Florida
2-Feb 8 “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”
5-Feb 11 Impeachment Senate votes to acquit. Then takes a five-day weekend.
10-Feb 11 Trump campaign rally – New Hampshire
12-Feb 12 Dow Jones closes at an all time high of 29,551.42
15-Feb 13 Trump golfs – Florida
19-Feb 13 Trump campaign rally – Arizona
20-Feb 13 Trump campaign rally – Colorado
21-Feb 15 Trump campaign rally – Nevada
24-Feb 51 “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA… Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”
25-Feb 51 “CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus.”
25-Feb 51 “I think that’s a problem that’s going to go away… They have studied it. They know very much. In fact, we’re very close to a vaccine.”
26-Feb 57 “The 15 (cases in the US) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero.”
26-Feb 57 “We’re going very substantially down, not up.” Also “This is a flu. This is like a flu”; “Now, you treat this like a flu”; “It’s a little like the regular flu that we have flu shots for. And we’ll essentially have a flu shot for this in a fairly quick manner.”
27-Feb 58 “One day it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”
28-Feb 60 “We’re ordering a lot of supplies. We’re ordering a lot of, uh, elements that frankly we wouldn’t be ordering unless it was something like this. But we’re ordering a lot of different elements of medical.”
28-Feb 60 Trump campaign rally – South Carolina
2-Mar 98 “You take a solid flu vaccine, you don’t think that could have an impact, or much of an impact, on corona?”
2-Mar 98 Trump campaign rally – North Carolina
2-Mar 98 “A lot of things are happening, a lot of very exciting things are happening and they’re happening very rapidly.”
4-Mar 149 “If we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better.”
5-Mar 217 “I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work.”
5-Mar 217 “The United States… has, as of now, only 129 cases… and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!”
6-Mar 262 “I think we’re doing a really good job in this country at keeping it down… a tremendous job at keeping it down.”
6-Mar 262 “Anybody right now, and yesterday, anybody that needs a test gets a test. They’re there. And the tests are beautiful…. the tests are all perfect like the letter was perfect. The transcription was perfect. Right? This was not as perfect as that but pretty good.”
6-Mar 262 “I like this stuff. I really get it. People are surprised that I understand it… Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.”
6-Mar 262 “I don’t need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn’t our fault.”
7-Mar 402 Trump golfs – Florida
8-Mar 518 Trump golfs – Florida
8-Mar 518 “We have a perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan at the White House for our attack on CoronaVirus.”
9-Mar 583 “This blindsided the world.”
1-Mar 583 Travel lockdown from Europe.
13-Mar 2179 State of emergency declared
17-Mar 6421 “This is a pandemic,” Mr. Trump told reporters. “I felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic.”
18-Mar 7783 It’s not racist at all. No. Not at all. It comes from China. That’s why. It comes from China. I want to be accurate.
23-Mar 42152 Dow Jones closes at 18,591.93
25-Mar 63928 3.3 million Americans file for unemployment.
30-Mar 160530 Dow Jones closes at 21,917.16
2-Apr 239099 6.6 million Americans file for unemployment.